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Phonix Lubeck vs Jeddeloh Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Phonix Lubeck

PPG 1.73 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Jeddeloh

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 58.8% vs bookmaker-implied 42.9% — a clear edge.

+37.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-19.8%0-29.6%0-36.3%0-4+4.8%1 1-05.2%1-110.1%1-29.9%1-36.5%1-4+5.0%2 2-02.7%2-15.3%2-25.2%2-33.4%2-4+2.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.8%3-21.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.5% 40.8% 2.45 -52.2%

Draw 21.6% 26.3% 3.80 -17.9%

Away win 58.8% 42.9% 2.33 +37.0%

Over 2.5 57.6% 67.6% 1.48 -14.8%

Over 3.5 35.2% 45.5% 2.20 -22.6%

BTTS 55.5% 70.4% 1.42 -21.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob55.5%

A 59% / xG 1.0-2.0 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–1 9.8%

#4 0–2 9.6%

#5 1–3 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Phonix Lubeck1.0

Jeddeloh2.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.6% · O3.5 PROB 35.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PHONIX LUBECK · PPG 1.73

JEDDELOH · PPG 2.07

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.73) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.07)

Win probability 1X2

Phonix Lubeck (H) 19.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -52.2%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -17.9%

Jeddeloh (A) 58.8%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +37.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Phonix Lubeck face Jeddeloh in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Phonix Lubeck a 20% chance, the draw 22% and Jeddeloh 59%, so Jeddeloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Phonix Lubeck and 2.0 for Jeddeloh (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Phonix Lubeck are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 2.07 for Jeddeloh. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.0%. This match finished 3-2.

Phonix Lubeck vs Jeddeloh Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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