Today / USA - USL League One / Portland Hearts of Pine vs Westchester SC

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Westchester SC Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 22:00

Portland Hearts of Pine

PPG 1.09 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDLL

UPCOMING

Westchester SC

PPG 0.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 66% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-15.2%0-23.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.8%1-110.1%1-25.8%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.5%3-16.4%3-23.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.8%4+-22.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.8% 51.3% 1.95 -0.9%

Draw 22.9% 28.6% 3.50 -11.9%

Away win 26.2% 31.4% 3.18 -10.0%

Over 2.5 61.3% 64.5% 1.55 -5.0%

Over 3.5 39.4% 43.5% 2.30 -9.4%

BTTS 61.5% 67.6% 1.48 -9.0%

Home O1.5 55.8% 57.1% 1.75 -2.4%

Away O1.5 33.2% 43.5% 2.30 -23.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -4.5%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.5%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–2 5.8%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portland Hearts of Pine1.9

Westchester SC1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTLAND HEARTS OF PINE · PPG 1.09

WESTCHESTER SC · PPG 0.27

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Portland Hearts of Pine (H) 50.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -0.9%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -11.9%

Westchester SC (A) 26.2%

ODDS 3.18 · IMPLIED 31.4% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Portland Hearts of Pine face Westchester SC in USA - USL League One on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portland Hearts of Pine a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Westchester SC 26%, so Portland Hearts of Pine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.2 for Westchester SC (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portland Hearts of Pine are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 0.27 for Westchester SC.

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Westchester SC Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - USL League One Predictions