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Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 16:15

Al-Dhafra

PPG 1.06 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

UPCOMING

Al Wahda FC

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS 57% chance

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-19.9%0-27.5%0-33.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-07.9%1-112.0%1-29.1%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.8%2-17.3%2-25.5%2-32.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.9%3-12.9%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% 23.8% 4.20 +29.4%

Draw 24.3% 26.7% 3.75 -5.3%

Away win 45.0% 60.6% 1.65 -25.8%

Over 2.5 53.8% 59.9% 1.67 -10.2%

Over 3.5 31.7% 38.2% 2.62 -17.0%

BTTS 55.9% 57.8% 1.73 -3.3%

Home O1.5 33.1% 33.6% 2.98 -1.4%

Away O1.5 46.7% 59.9% 1.67 -22.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.9%

A 45% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–1 9.9%

#4 0–2 7.5%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al-Dhafra1.2

Al Wahda FC1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL-DHAFRA · PPG 1.06

AL WAHDA FC · PPG 1.18

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

57%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al-Dhafra (H) 30.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +29.4%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.3%

Al Wahda FC (A) 45.0%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -25.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al-Dhafra face Al Wahda FC in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al-Dhafra a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Al Wahda FC 45%, so Al Wahda FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al-Dhafra and 1.5 for Al Wahda FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al-Dhafra are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.18 for Al Wahda FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +35.0%.

Al-Dhafra vs Al Wahda FC Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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