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Cruz Azul U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

Cruz Azul U21

PPG 1.39 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDDL

UPCOMING

Santos Laguna U21

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-110.9%0-24.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.4%1-113.1%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.3%2-17.9%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.7%3-13.2%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 45.2% 2.21 -3.0%

Draw 27.4% 29.1% 3.44 -3.5%

Away win 28.7% 33.9% 2.95 -9.2%

Over 2.5 42.7% 52.6% 1.90 -18.9%

Over 3.5 20.9% 31.8% 3.14 -20.6%

BTTS 48.0% 58.8% 1.70 -18.4%

Home O1.5 33.0% 46.7% 2.14 -29.4%

Away O1.5 24.5% 38.3% 2.61 -21.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.0%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.4%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–0 12.7%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cruz Azul U211.2

Santos Laguna U210.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CRUZ AZUL U21 · PPG 1.39

SANTOS LAGUNA U21 · PPG 1.38

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cruz Azul U21 (H) 43.9%

ODDS 2.21 · IMPLIED 45.2% EV -3.0%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.44 · IMPLIED 29.1% EV -3.5%

Santos Laguna U21 (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cruz Azul U21 face Santos Laguna U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cruz Azul U21 a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Santos Laguna U21 29%, so Cruz Azul U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cruz Azul U21 and 0.9 for Santos Laguna U21 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cruz Azul U21 are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.38 for Santos Laguna U21.

Cruz Azul U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Match Preview & Prediction

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