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Cruz Azul U21 vs Atlas U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Cruz Azul U21

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDDL

UPCOMING

Atlas U21

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-18.7%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.6%1-112.0%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-18.2%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-13.8%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-11.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% 47.6% 2.10 +0.6%

Draw 28.3% 30.3% 3.30 -4.0%

Away win 23.8% 34.7% 2.88 -18.9%

Over 2.5 39.6% 46.5% 2.15 -14.9%

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 43.8% — — —

Home O1.5 37.8% — — —

Away O1.5 17.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.8%

H 48% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.6%

#2 0–0 12.8%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 12.1%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cruz Azul U211.4

Atlas U210.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CRUZ AZUL U21 · PPG 1.44

ATLAS U21 · PPG 0.75

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.69 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cruz Azul U21 (H) 47.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +0.6%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.0%

Atlas U21 (A) 23.8%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -18.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cruz Azul U21 face Atlas U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cruz Azul U21 a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Atlas U21 24%, so Cruz Azul U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cruz Azul U21 and 0.7 for Atlas U21 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cruz Azul U21 are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.75 for Atlas U21.

Cruz Azul U21 vs Atlas U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Match Preview & Prediction

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