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Club America U21 vs Puebla U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Club America U21

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDDD

UPCOMING

Puebla U21

PPG 1.68 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-110.5%0-24.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.7%1-112.8%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-17.8%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.2%3-13.2%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 57.8% 1.73 -23.4%

Draw 31.8% 28.6% 3.50 +11.3%

Away win 23.9% 25.0% 4.00 -2.6%

Over 2.5 37.8% 51.3% 1.95 -26.3%

Over 3.5 19.9% 31.3% 3.20 -21.8%

BTTS 47.2% 54.6% 1.83 -13.6%

Home O1.5 33.4% 53.5% 1.87 -37.5%

Away O1.5 22.1% 28.7% 3.48 -13.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%

#2 1–0 16.7%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Club America U211.2

Puebla U210.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CLUB AMERICA U21 · PPG 1.55

PUEBLA U21 · PPG 1.68

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 1.99 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Club America U21 (H) 44.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -23.4%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +11.3%

Puebla U21 (A) 23.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Club America U21 face Puebla U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club America U21 a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Puebla U21 24%, so Club America U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Club America U21 and 0.8 for Puebla U21 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club America U21 are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.68 for Puebla U21.

Club America U21 vs Puebla U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Match Preview & Prediction

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