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Bengaluru vs Mumbai City Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Bengaluru

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Mumbai City

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-110.6%0-23.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.3%1-112.7%1-24.7%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.4%2-17.7%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-13.1%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 30.7% — — —

Over 3.5 13.2% — — —

BTTS 36.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob36.5%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.3%

#2 0–0✓ 14.4%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 2–0 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bengaluru1.2

Mumbai City0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.7% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BENGALURU · PPG 1.00

MUMBAI CITY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (2.00) strong but model favors Home (P=47.1%)

Win probability 1X2

Bengaluru (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mumbai City (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bengaluru face Mumbai City in India - Indian Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bengaluru a 47% chance, the draw 30% and Mumbai City 23%, so Bengaluru are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bengaluru and 0.7 for Mumbai City (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bengaluru are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Mumbai City. This match finished 0-0.

Bengaluru vs Mumbai City Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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