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Weston-s.-Mare vs Dorking Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South logo England flag England - National League - South South - 46 The Optima Stadium· Weston-super-Mare, Somerset Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30
Weston-s.-Mare logo Weston-s.-Mare PPG 2.14
1-1 HIT CS2
Dorking logo Dorking PPG 1.09
Home· +26.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Weston-s.-Mare face Dorking in England - National League - South on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Weston-s.-Mare a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Dorking 22%, so Weston-s.-Mare are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Weston-s.-Mare and 1.0 for Dorking (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Weston-s.-Mare are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.09 for Dorking. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.9%
Odds: 2.35 EV: +26.7%
Draw 24.1%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -18.1%
Away 22.1%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -42.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.3% Odds: 1.70 -14.5%
Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 2.75 -22.2%
BTTS 51.3% Odds: 1.55 -20.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Weston-s.-Mare
1.69
Dorking
0.99

Model Suggestion

Home +26.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 26.0%
Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=53.9%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org