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Huima / Urho vs Kraft Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Huima / Urho

PPG 2.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kraft

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 88% chance

Combined xG of 5.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 83.0% vs bookmaker-implied 90.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.5%0-20.3%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.5%1-12.1%1-21.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.3%2 2-03.2%2-14.4%2-23.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.5%3-16.3%3-24.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-121.3%4+-214.9%4+-37.0%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.4% 87.7% 1.14 -11.8%

Draw 14.8% 15.3% 6.55 -1.8%

Away win 7.8% 7.7% 13.00 +0.8%

Over 2.5 83.0% 90.1% 1.11 -7.9%

Over 3.5 63.7% 74.1% 1.35 -14.0%

BTTS 63.5% 70.4% 1.42 -9.8%

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 42.2% 32.9% 3.04 +28.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 77% / xG 4.3-1.4 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.7%

#2 3–1 6.3%

#3 5–1 5.7%

#4 2–2 3.1%

#5 4–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huima / Urho4.3

Kraft1.4

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.0% · O3.5 PROB 63.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HUIMA / URHO · PPG 2.30

KRAFT · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

88%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.86 for Home, form 2.30 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Huima / Urho (H) 77.4%

ODDS 1.14 · IMPLIED 87.7% EV -11.8%

Draw 14.8%

ODDS 6.55 · IMPLIED 15.3% EV -1.8%

Kraft (A) 7.8%

ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV +0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huima / Urho face Kraft in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huima / Urho a 77% chance, the draw 15% and Kraft 8%, so Huima / Urho are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for Huima / Urho and 1.4 for Kraft (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huima / Urho are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.00 for Kraft. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +28.3%.

Huima / Urho vs Kraft Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions