Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group C / SJK-juniorit vs TP-47

SJK-juniorit vs TP-47 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 11:00

SJK-juniorit

PPG 1.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

TP-47

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 73% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.1%0-23.9%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.4%1-110.7%1-26.8%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.5%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.4%3-15.6%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.7%4+-22.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% 54.1% 1.85 -13.8%

Draw 24.0% 23.8% 4.20 +0.5%

Away win 29.4% 33.3% 3.00 -7.1%

Over 2.5 61.1% 80.0% 1.25 -23.6%

Over 3.5 38.6% 61.7% 1.62 -37.5%

BTTS 61.5% 78.1% 1.28 -21.3%

Home O1.5 49.9% 70.9% 1.41 -29.6%

Away O1.5 37.5% 58.8% 1.70 -36.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.5%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK-juniorit1.8

TP-471.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK-JUNIORIT · PPG 1.11

TP-47 · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

73%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SJK-juniorit (H) 46.6%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -13.8%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +0.5%

TP-47 (A) 29.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK-juniorit face TP-47 in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK-juniorit a 47% chance, the draw 24% and TP-47 29%, so SJK-juniorit are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for SJK-juniorit and 1.3 for TP-47 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK-juniorit are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.22 for TP-47.

SJK-juniorit vs TP-47 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions