Today / Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura / Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura

Clausura · Matchday 9 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Sportivo Trinidense

PPG 1.49 · HOME

UPCOMING

Olimpia

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-17.4%0-23.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.3%1-111.9%1-25.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-19.5%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.3%3-15.1%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 32.3% 3.10 +52.8%

Draw 25.5% 33.3% 3.00 -14.1%

Away win 25.2% 43.5% 2.30 -25.2%

Over 2.5 50.6% 47.6% 2.10 +6.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% 26.7% 3.75 +4.6%

BTTS 52.9% 55.6% 1.80 -4.8%

Home O1.5 47.9% 33.6% 2.98 +42.7%

Away O1.5 26.2% 42.6% 2.35 -23.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 64%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.9%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 12.3%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sportivo Trinidense1.6

Olimpia1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE · PPG 1.49

OLIMPIA · PPG 1.04

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

55%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sportivo Trinidense (H) 49.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +52.8%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -14.1%

Olimpia (A) 25.2%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -25.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sportivo Trinidense face Olimpia in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Olimpia 25%, so Sportivo Trinidense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.0 for Olimpia (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sportivo Trinidense are averaging 1.49 points per game versus 1.04 for Olimpia. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +73.2%.

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura

Match Preview & Prediction

More Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura Predictions