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Sportivo Trinidense vs 2 de Mayo Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 19:00

Sportivo Trinidense

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDDL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

2 de Mayo

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-19.9%0-24.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.5%1-113.0%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.8%2-18.5%2-24.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.8%3-13.7%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.7% 50.5% 1.98 -15.4%

Draw 27.6% 31.7% 3.15 -7.8%

Away win 29.7% 27.0% 3.70 +5.9%

Over 2.5 44.8% 45.5% 2.20 -1.4%

Over 3.5 25.6% 25.0% 4.00 +1.4%

BTTS 49.2% 52.6% 1.90 -6.5%

Home O1.5 37.2% 44.4% 2.25 -16.3%

Away O1.5 26.2% 28.2% 3.55 -4.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 71%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 1–0 13.5%

#3 0–0 10.3%

#4 0–1✓ 9.9%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sportivo Trinidense1.3

2 de Mayo1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE · PPG 1.71

2 DE MAYO · PPG 1.58

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.34, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sportivo Trinidense (H) 42.7%

ODDS 1.98 · IMPLIED 50.5% EV -15.4%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -7.8%

2 de Mayo (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sportivo Trinidense face 2 de Mayo in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 43% chance, the draw 28% and 2 de Mayo 30%, so Sportivo Trinidense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.0 for 2 de Mayo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sportivo Trinidense are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.58 for 2 de Mayo. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Sportivo Trinidense vs 2 de Mayo Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura

Match Preview & Prediction

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