Today / England - Women's Championship / Sheffield United W vs Leicester City FC W

Sheffield United W vs Leicester City FC W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Sheffield United W

PPG 1.23 · HOME

UPCOMING

Leicester City FC W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 64% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.7%0-24.6%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.9%1-111.0%1-27.6%1-33.5%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.5%2-19.0%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.6%3-15.0%3-23.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.9%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 30.3% 3.30 +49.8%

Draw 24.5% 25.0% 4.00 -1.2%

Away win 30.1% 55.6% 1.80 -45.8%

Over 2.5 59.7% 60.6% 1.65 -1.5%

Over 3.5 36.4% 40.7% 2.46 -10.5%

BTTS 61.5% 64.5% 1.55 -4.7%

Home O1.5 48.1% 40.0% 2.50 +20.3%

Away O1.5 42.2% 59.2% 1.69 -28.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 85%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.5%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.5%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sheffield United W1.6

Leicester City FC W1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SHEFFIELD UNITED W · PPG 1.23

LEICESTER CITY FC W · PPG 1.50

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

64%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sheffield United W (H) 45.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +49.8%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.2%

Leicester City FC W (A) 30.1%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -45.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield United W face Leicester City FC W in England - Women's Championship on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield United W a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Leicester City FC W 30%, so Sheffield United W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sheffield United W and 1.4 for Leicester City FC W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield United W are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.50 for Leicester City FC W. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +35.8%.

Sheffield United W vs Leicester City FC W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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