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Bollstanäs vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 20 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Bollstanäs

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

UPCOMING

Angby

PPG 2.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 67% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.5%0-25.0%0-33.1%0-4+2.2%1 1-05.0%1-19.2%1-28.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.2%2-17.7%2-27.1%2-34.3%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.3%3-14.3%3-23.9%3-32.4%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.6%4+-22.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 47.6% 2.10 -24.4%

Draw 22.4% 26.7% 3.75 -9.6%

Away win 41.7% 37.0% 2.70 +12.6%

Over 2.5 66.9% 66.7% 1.50 +0.4%

Over 3.5 45.0% 47.6% 2.10 -5.5%

BTTS 63.5% 69.4% 1.44 -8.6%

Home O1.5 49.6% 58.5% 1.71 -15.2%

Away O1.5 58.3% 54.3% 1.84 +7.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -3.5%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

A 42% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bollstanäs1.7

Angby1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLLSTANÄS · PPG 1.44

ANGBY · PPG 2.22

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

67%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.17 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bollstanäs (H) 36.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -24.4%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.6%

Angby (A) 41.7%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bollstanäs face Angby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bollstanäs a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Angby 42%, so Angby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Bollstanäs and 1.8 for Angby (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bollstanäs are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.22 for Angby. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +11.8%.

Bollstanäs vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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