Alashkert vs Noah Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Armenia - Premier League Regular Season - 23 Alashkert Stadium· Yerevan Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Alashkert PPG 2.00

1-1 HIT CS3

Noah PPG 1.88

Home· +29.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Alashkert face Noah in Armenia - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alashkert a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Noah 32%, so Alashkert are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Alashkert and 0.9 for Noah (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alashkert are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.88 for Noah. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.0%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +29.5%

Draw 31.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +3.3%

Away 31.7%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -38.2%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.0% Odds: 1.95 -39.6%

Over 3.5 13.4% Odds: 3.45 -53.8%

BTTS 38.7% Odds: 1.75 -32.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Alashkert

1.02

Noah

0.93

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -42.6%

Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.88)