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Alashkert vs Noah Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Alashkert

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Noah

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-113.2%0-26.1%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.6%1-113.5%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.5%2-16.9%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.6%3-12.4%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.0% 28.6% 3.50 +29.5%

Draw 31.3% 30.3% 3.30 +3.3%

Away win 31.7% 51.3% 1.95 -38.2%

Over 2.5 31.0% 51.3% 1.95 -39.6%

Over 3.5 13.4% 29.0% 3.45 -53.8%

BTTS 38.7% 57.1% 1.75 -32.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob38.7%

D 31% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.6%

#2 0–0 14.2%

#3 1–1✓ 13.5%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Alashkert1.0

Noah0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ALASHKERT · PPG 2.00

NOAH · PPG 1.88

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.88)

Win probability 1X2

Alashkert (H) 37.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +29.5%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +3.3%

Noah (A) 31.7%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -38.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Alashkert face Noah in Armenia - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alashkert a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Noah 32%, so Alashkert are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Alashkert and 0.9 for Noah (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alashkert are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.88 for Noah. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Alashkert vs Noah Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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