Today / Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina / San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba

San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 8 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 22:00

San Lorenzo

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

UPCOMING

Talleres Cordoba

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-113.0%0-25.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.1%1-113.3%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.2%2-16.8%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.8%3-12.3%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 42.7% 2.34 -7.3%

Draw 31.5% 33.8% 2.96 -6.8%

Away win 28.9% 30.3% 3.30 -2.8%

Over 2.5 38.8% 37.0% 2.70 +4.8%

Over 3.5 18.5% 18.2% 5.50 +1.1%

BTTS 48.0% 46.5% 2.15 +3.2%

Home O1.5 30.8% 35.7% 2.80 -13.8%

Away O1.5 23.7% 27.0% 3.70 -7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

H 40% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.7%

#2 1–0 16.1%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 0–1 13.0%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Lorenzo1.0

Talleres Cordoba0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN LORENZO · PPG 1.55

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.33

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 1.85 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

San Lorenzo (H) 39.6%

ODDS 2.34 · IMPLIED 42.7% EV -7.3%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV -6.8%

Talleres Cordoba (A) 28.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -2.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Lorenzo face Talleres Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Lorenzo a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Talleres Cordoba 29%, so San Lorenzo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for San Lorenzo and 0.8 for Talleres Cordoba (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Lorenzo are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.33 for Talleres Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +9.7%.

San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions