Today / Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina / Aldosivi vs Banfield

Aldosivi vs Banfield Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 8 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 16:30

Aldosivi

PPG 0.73 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLL

UPCOMING

Banfield

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-116.1%0-27.7%0-32.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.9%1-113.3%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.7%2-15.5%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.6%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% 40.8% 2.45 -24.1%

Draw 32.2% 34.5% 2.90 -6.6%

Away win 36.7% 31.7% 3.15 +15.6%

Over 2.5 38.8% 39.2% 2.55 -1.1%

Over 3.5 20.9% 20.0% 5.00 +2.7%

BTTS 48.0% 48.8% 2.05 -1.6%

Home O1.5 30.8% 35.7% 2.80 -13.8%

Away O1.5 26.1% 29.4% 3.40 -6.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 0–1 16.1%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 13.9%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aldosivi0.8

Banfield1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ALDOSIVI · PPG 0.73

BANFIELD · PPG 0.67

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.13, combined xG 1.78 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Aldosivi (H) 31.0%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -24.1%

Draw 32.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -6.6%

Banfield (A) 36.7%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Aldosivi face Banfield in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aldosivi a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Banfield 37%, so Banfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Aldosivi and 1.0 for Banfield (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aldosivi are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 0.67 for Banfield. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.5%.

Aldosivi vs Banfield Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions