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Radnik Bijeljina vs Sloga Doboj Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 18:45

Radnik Bijeljina

PPG 1.19 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDD

UPCOMING

Sloga Doboj

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWD ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-111.5%0-24.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.5%1-113.1%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.4%2-17.4%2-22.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.2% 42.6% 2.35 +1.5%

Draw 30.2% 35.7% 2.80 -15.4%

Away win 26.6% 35.7% 2.80 -15.3%

Over 2.5 40.7% 41.2% 2.43 -1.1%

Over 3.5 20.9% 18.2% 5.50 +9.0%

BTTS 48.0% 48.8% 2.05 -1.6%

Home O1.5 31.2% 34.7% 2.88 -10.1%

Away O1.5 23.2% 30.8% 3.25 -14.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 62%

ROI 4.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.5%

#2 0–0 14.6%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnik Bijeljina1.1

Sloga Doboj0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNIK BIJELJINA · PPG 1.19

SLOGA DOBOJ · PPG 1.03

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.34, combined xG 1.93 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radnik Bijeljina (H) 43.2%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV +1.5%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -15.4%

Sloga Doboj (A) 26.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnik Bijeljina face Sloga Doboj in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnik Bijeljina a 43% chance, the draw 30% and Sloga Doboj 27%, so Radnik Bijeljina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Radnik Bijeljina and 0.8 for Sloga Doboj (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnik Bijeljina are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.03 for Sloga Doboj. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.0%.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Sloga Doboj Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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