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Albert Quévy-Mons vs Olympic Charleroi Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

ACFF · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 18:00

Albert Quévy-Mons

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

UPCOMING

Olympic Charleroi

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-17.5%0-24.6%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.7%1-111.8%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.2%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.0%3-14.8%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% 47.6% 2.10 -13.1%

Draw 28.3% 32.3% 3.10 -7.4%

Away win 30.3% 33.3% 3.00 -9.1%

Over 2.5 50.6% 54.1% 1.85 -6.4%

Over 3.5 31.6% 31.8% 3.14 -0.8%

BTTS 52.9% 57.8% 1.73 -8.5%

Home O1.5 46.6% 48.5% 2.06 -4.0%

Away O1.5 36.8% 38.3% 2.61 -4.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.9%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.2%

#4 1–2 7.2%

#5 1–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Albert Quévy-Mons1.6

Olympic Charleroi1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS · PPG 1.75

OLYMPIC CHARLEROI · PPG 1.75

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

56%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Albert Quévy-Mons (H) 41.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -13.1%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.4%

Olympic Charleroi (A) 30.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Albert Quévy-Mons face Olympic Charleroi in Belgium - First Amateur Division on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Albert Quévy-Mons a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Olympic Charleroi 30%, so Albert Quévy-Mons are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Albert Quévy-Mons and 1.2 for Olympic Charleroi (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Albert Quévy-Mons are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Olympic Charleroi. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +6.0%.

Albert Quévy-Mons vs Olympic Charleroi Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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