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Cercle Brugge II vs Zelzate Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

VV · Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Cercle Brugge II

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

D ····

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Zelzate

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

D ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.5%0-24.6%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.7%1-110.8%1-27.6%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-19.0%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.6%3-15.0%3-23.6%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.1%4+-22.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 40.8% 2.45 +11.7%

Draw 24.6% 28.6% 3.50 -8.3%

Away win 29.8% 43.5% 2.30 -18.9%

Over 2.5 59.8% 66.7% 1.50 -10.3%

Over 3.5 36.9% 46.5% 2.15 -20.7%

BTTS 60.8% 71.4% 1.40 -14.9%

Home O1.5 48.9% 52.4% 1.91 -6.6%

Away O1.5 40.9% 55.2% 1.81 -26.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.8%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.4%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cercle Brugge II1.7

Zelzate1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CERCLE BRUGGE II · PPG 1.56

ZELZATE · PPG 1.30

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cercle Brugge II (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +11.7%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.3%

Zelzate (A) 29.8%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -18.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cercle Brugge II face Zelzate in Belgium - First Amateur Division on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cercle Brugge II a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Zelzate 30%, so Cercle Brugge II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Cercle Brugge II and 1.4 for Zelzate (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cercle Brugge II are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.30 for Zelzate. This match finished 1-1.

Cercle Brugge II vs Zelzate Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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