Chiangrai Utd vs Bangkok Utd Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 1

Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 28 Leo Chiangrai Stadium· Chiang Rai Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:00

Chiangrai Utd PPG 1.25

2-0 MISS

Bangkok Utd PPG 1.50

Home· +40.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chiangrai Utd face Bangkok Utd in Thailand - Thai League 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chiangrai Utd a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Bangkok Utd 34%, so Chiangrai Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Chiangrai Utd and 1.1 for Bangkok Utd (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chiangrai Utd are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.50 for Bangkok Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +40.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.4%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +40.3%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -2.0%

Away 34.2%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -37.4%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.1% Odds: 1.80 -27.8%

Over 3.5 19.8% Odds: 3.00 -40.6%

BTTS 46.4% Odds: 1.67 -22.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chiangrai Utd

1.18

Bangkok Utd

1.11

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away GOOD (1.50)