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Stallion vs One Taguig Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Group Stage ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Stallion

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

One Taguig

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home GOOD (1.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-110.8%0-215.7%0-315.2%0-4+22.7%1 1-01.4%1-14.1%1-26.0%1-35.9%1-4+8.7%2 2-00.3%2-10.8%2-21.2%2-31.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 2.8% — — —

Draw 9.1% — — —

Away win 88.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — — —

BTTS 30.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob30.2%

A 88% / xG 0.4-2.9 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 15.7%

#2 0–3 15.2%

#3 0–4 11.1%

#4 0–1 10.8%

#5 0–5 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stallion0.4

One Taguig2.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STALLION · PPG 1.75

ONE TAGUIG · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Stallion (H) 2.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

One Taguig (A) 88.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stallion face One Taguig in Philippines - PFL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stallion a 3% chance, the draw 9% and One Taguig 88%, so One Taguig are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Stallion and 2.9 for One Taguig (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stallion are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.67 for One Taguig. This match finished 1-1.

Stallion vs One Taguig Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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