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Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction— Greece - Super League 1

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 16:00

Volos NFC

PPG 1.28 · HOME

LAST 5

LD ···

UPCOMING

Olympiakos Piraeus

PPG 2.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-112.7%0-27.9%0-33.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.5%1-113.2%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.5%2-16.8%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.9%3-12.4%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% 7.4% 13.50 +180.6%

Draw 27.8% 18.9% 5.30 +28.4%

Away win 42.4% 82.6% 1.21 -48.7%

Over 2.5 43.1% 62.5% 1.60 -31.0%

Over 3.5 25.5% 40.0% 2.50 -21.8%

BTTS 48.0% 46.5% 2.15 +3.2%

Home O1.5 30.8% 15.4% 6.50 +100.2%

Away O1.5 36.8% 75.2% 1.33 -51.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.0%

A 42% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–1 12.7%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 1–2 8.2%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volos NFC1.0

Olympiakos Piraeus1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLOS NFC · PPG 1.28

OLYMPIAKOS PIRAEUS · PPG 2.02

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 2.29 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Volos NFC (H) 29.7%

ODDS 13.50 · IMPLIED 7.4% EV +180.6%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 5.30 · IMPLIED 18.9% EV +28.4%

Olympiakos Piraeus (A) 42.4%

ODDS 1.21 · IMPLIED 82.6% EV -48.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Volos NFC face Olympiakos Piraeus in Greece - Super League 1 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volos NFC a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Olympiakos Piraeus 42%, so Olympiakos Piraeus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Volos NFC and 1.2 for Olympiakos Piraeus (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volos NFC are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 2.02 for Olympiakos Piraeus. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +151.1%.

Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction— Greece - Super League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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