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Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos Prediction— Greece - Super League 1

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:30

Levadiakos

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Panathinaikos

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.7%0-24.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.6%1-111.2%1-27.3%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.3%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.9%3-15.1%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.1%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% 19.6% 5.10 +105.0%

Draw 24.1% 27.8% 3.60 -7.9%

Away win 35.7% 61.7% 1.62 -42.2%

Over 2.5 53.8% 54.1% 1.85 -0.5%

Over 3.5 32.0% 32.3% 3.10 -0.8%

BTTS 54.1% 55.6% 1.80 -2.6%

Home O1.5 49.0% 26.3% 3.80 +86.2%

Away O1.5 40.1% 57.1% 1.75 -29.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.1%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 7.3%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 2–0 7.1%

#5 0–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levadiakos1.7

Panathinaikos1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVADIAKOS · PPG 1.86

PANATHINAIKOS · PPG 1.42

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Levadiakos (H) 40.2%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +105.0%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.9%

Panathinaikos (A) 35.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -42.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Levadiakos face Panathinaikos in Greece - Super League 1 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levadiakos a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Panathinaikos 36%, so Levadiakos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Levadiakos and 1.3 for Panathinaikos (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levadiakos are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.42 for Panathinaikos. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +142.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos Prediction— Greece - Super League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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