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Dassendorf vs Harksheide Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 32 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Dassendorf

PPG 2.43 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Harksheide

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.4%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.5%1-11.7%1-21.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-03.4%2-14.0%2-22.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.2%3-16.0%3-23.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-021.0%4+-124.3%4+-214.1%4+-35.4%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 89.6% — — —

Draw 6.3% — — —

Away win 4.1% — — —

Over 2.5 92.4% — — —

Over 3.5 82.2% — — —

BTTS 67.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)4.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob67.9%

H 90% / xG 4.6-1.2 / O2.5 92% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.9%

#2 5–1 6.3%

#3 3–1 6.0%

#4 4–0 5.9%

#5 5–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dassendorf4.6

Harksheide1.2

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 92.4% · O3.5 PROB 82.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DASSENDORF · PPG 2.43

HARKSHEIDE · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.43), Away POOR (0.64) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Dassendorf (H) 89.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 6.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Harksheide (A) 4.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dassendorf face Harksheide in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dassendorf a 90% chance, the draw 6% and Harksheide 4%, so Dassendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for Dassendorf and 1.2 for Harksheide (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 92% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dassendorf are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 0.64 for Harksheide. This match finished 0-1.

Dassendorf vs Harksheide Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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