Today / Norway - 1st Division / Strommen vs Bryne

Strommen vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Strommen

PPG 1.10 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

UPCOMING

Bryne

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-18.9%0-26.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.4%1-112.0%1-28.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.7%2-18.1%2-25.8%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.6%3-13.7%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% 31.3% 3.20 +25.1%

Draw 24.3% 29.4% 3.40 -10.4%

Away win 36.5% 51.3% 1.95 -28.8%

Over 2.5 55.8% 58.8% 1.70 -5.1%

Over 3.5 35.0% 38.2% 2.62 -8.3%

BTTS 59.0% 63.7% 1.57 -7.4%

Home O1.5 39.5% 40.0% 2.50 -1.3%

Away O1.5 42.2% 54.6% 1.83 -22.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.0%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 8.1%

#3 1–2 8.5%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Strommen1.4

Bryne1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.8% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STROMMEN · PPG 1.10

BRYNE · PPG 1.50

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Strommen (H) 39.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +25.1%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.4%

Bryne (A) 36.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -28.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Strommen face Bryne in Norway - 1st Division on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Strommen a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Bryne 37%, so Strommen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Strommen and 1.4 for Bryne (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Strommen are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.50 for Bryne. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +13.2%.

Strommen vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 1st Division Predictions