Today / Wales - FAW Championship / Brickfield Rangers vs Guilsfield

Brickfield Rangers vs Guilsfield Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship

North · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:30

Brickfield Rangers

PPG 2.07 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLW

UPCOMING

Guilsfield

PPG 0.99 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a clear edge.

+14.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.0%0-22.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.3%1-18.9%1-24.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.8%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.8%3-17.3%3-23.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-16.8%4+-23.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% 52.4% 1.91 +6.0%

Draw 21.7% 26.7% 3.75 -11.2%

Away win 22.8% 32.3% 3.10 -17.6%

Over 2.5 63.7% 63.7% 1.57 +0.0%

Over 3.5 40.2% 42.6% 2.35 -5.5%

BTTS 60.1% 67.6% 1.48 -11.1%

Home O1.5 66.3% 57.8% 1.73 +14.7%

Away O1.5 32.5% 43.1% 2.32 -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 25.0%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.1%

H 56% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.2%

#4 1–2 4.7%

#5 3–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brickfield Rangers2.2

Guilsfield1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BRICKFIELD RANGERS · PPG 2.07

GUILSFIELD · PPG 0.99

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.15 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brickfield Rangers (H) 55.5%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +6.0%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -11.2%

Guilsfield (A) 22.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brickfield Rangers face Guilsfield in Wales - FAW Championship on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brickfield Rangers a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Guilsfield 23%, so Brickfield Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Brickfield Rangers and 1.1 for Guilsfield (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brickfield Rangers are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 0.99 for Guilsfield. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +22.2%.

Brickfield Rangers vs Guilsfield Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More Wales - FAW Championship Predictions