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PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:30

PWD Sports Club

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Mohammedan

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-111.9%0-25.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.9%1-113.4%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.9%2-17.6%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.0%3-12.9%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% — — —

Draw 29.8% — — —

Away win 30.8% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 16.1% — — —

BTTS 42.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob42.0%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 12.3%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PWD Sports Club1.1

Mohammedan1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 16.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PWD SPORTS CLUB · PPG 1.00

MOHAMMEDAN · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

PWD Sports Club (H) 39.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mohammedan (A) 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

PWD Sports Club face Mohammedan in Bangladesh - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PWD Sports Club a 39% chance, the draw 30% and Mohammedan 31%, so PWD Sports Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for PWD Sports Club and 1.0 for Mohammedan (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PWD Sports Club are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.33 for Mohammedan. This match finished 1-3.

PWD Sports Club vs Mohammedan Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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