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Fakirerpool vs B. Police Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:30

Fakirerpool

PPG 0.83 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

B. Police

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-117.0%0-210.0%0-33.9%0-4+1.5%1 1-011.0%1-112.9%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.2%2-14.9%2-22.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.1%3-11.2%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.8% — — —

Draw 30.5% — — —

Away win 45.6% — — —

Over 2.5 30.5% — — —

Over 3.5 13.1% — — —

BTTS 36.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob36.8%

A 46% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.0%

#2 0–0 14.5%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–2 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fakirerpool0.8

B. Police1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.5% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FAKIRERPOOL · PPG 0.83

B. POLICE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Fakirerpool (H) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Police (A) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fakirerpool face B. Police in Bangladesh - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fakirerpool a 24% chance, the draw 31% and B. Police 46%, so B. Police are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Fakirerpool and 1.2 for B. Police (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fakirerpool are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.50 for B. Police. This match finished 1-3.

Fakirerpool vs B. Police Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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