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Bashundhara K. vs Brothers Union Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:30

Bashundhara K.

PPG 2.67 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Brothers Union

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away AVERAGE (1.33) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-11.0%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.4%1-13.5%1-21.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-09.5%2-16.2%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.1%3-17.3%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-024.3%4+-116.0%4+-25.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 88.8% — — —

Draw 7.7% — — —

Away win 3.5% — — —

Over 2.5 78.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.1% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.7%

H 89% / xG 3.5-0.7 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.1%

#2 4–0 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 3–1 7.3%

#5 5–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bashundhara K.3.5

Brothers Union0.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BASHUNDHARA K. · PPG 2.67

BROTHERS UNION · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away AVERAGE (1.33) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bashundhara K. (H) 88.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brothers Union (A) 3.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bashundhara K. face Brothers Union in Bangladesh - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bashundhara K. a 89% chance, the draw 8% and Brothers Union 4%, so Bashundhara K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Bashundhara K. and 0.7 for Brothers Union (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bashundhara K. are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Brothers Union. This match finished 1-0.

Bashundhara K. vs Brothers Union Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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