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Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Gomel Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:30

Torpedo Zhodino

PPG 1.18 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLDW

UPCOMING

FC Gomel

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-112.9%0-27.0%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.5%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.5%2-17.0%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.3%3-12.4%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% 40.0% 2.50 -22.5%

Draw 27.8% 34.7% 2.88 -12.0%

Away win 41.2% 37.0% 2.70 +11.2%

Over 2.5 45.8% 48.3% 2.07 -5.2%

Over 3.5 26.1% 29.6% 3.38 -7.1%

BTTS 49.9% 55.6% 1.80 -10.2%

Home O1.5 30.8% 39.2% 2.55 -21.5%

Away O1.5 32.8% 37.9% 2.64 -13.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.9%

A 41% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.9%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–0 12.0%

#4 1–0 12.5%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torpedo Zhodino1.0

FC Gomel1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TORPEDO ZHODINO · PPG 1.18

FC GOMEL · PPG 1.44

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.04, combined xG 2.12 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torpedo Zhodino (H) 31.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -22.5%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -12.0%

FC Gomel (A) 41.2%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torpedo Zhodino face FC Gomel in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torpedo Zhodino a 31% chance, the draw 28% and FC Gomel 41%, so FC Gomel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.1 for FC Gomel (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torpedo Zhodino are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.44 for FC Gomel. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +1.9%.

Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Gomel Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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