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FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Isloch Minsk R. Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

FC Dnepr Mogilev

PPG 0.89 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

FC Isloch Minsk R.

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 57.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-113.0%0-211.6%0-36.9%0-4+4.6%1 1-06.1%1-110.8%1-29.7%1-35.8%1-4+3.9%2 2-02.5%2-14.5%2-24.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.7%3-11.3%3-21.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.4% 17.2% 5.80 +7.5%

Draw 22.9% 29.4% 3.40 -13.3%

Away win 57.6% 64.5% 1.55 -10.7%

Over 2.5 53.4% 48.8% 2.05 +9.5%

Over 3.5 31.5% 29.1% 3.44 +8.4%

BTTS 52.7% 48.8% 2.05 +8.0%

Home O1.5 30.9% 19.0% 5.25 +62.2%

Away O1.5 47.9% 55.6% 1.80 -13.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob52.7%

A 58% / xG 0.8-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.6%

#2 0–1 13.0%

#3 1–1 10.8%

#4 1–2 9.7%

#5 0–0✓ 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Dnepr Mogilev0.8

FC Isloch Minsk R.1.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FC DNEPR MOGILEV · PPG 0.89

FC ISLOCH MINSK R. · PPG 1.90

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.95 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Dnepr Mogilev (H) 19.4%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +7.5%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.3%

FC Isloch Minsk R. (A) 57.6%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -10.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Dnepr Mogilev face FC Isloch Minsk R. in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Dnepr Mogilev a 19% chance, the draw 23% and FC Isloch Minsk R. 58%, so FC Isloch Minsk R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for FC Dnepr Mogilev and 1.8 for FC Isloch Minsk R. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Dnepr Mogilev are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 1.90 for FC Isloch Minsk R.. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +62.2%. This match finished 0-0.

FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Isloch Minsk R. Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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