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Dinamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30

Dinamo Brest

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

ML Vitebsk

PPG 2.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-19.0%0-27.0%0-33.7%0-4+2.0%1 1-07.5%1-111.7%1-29.1%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.8%2-17.5%2-25.8%2-33.0%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.1%3-13.2%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% 30.3% 3.30 +3.6%

Draw 24.3% 33.3% 3.00 -16.3%

Away win 44.4% 47.6% 2.10 -6.8%

Over 2.5 53.5% 50.3% 1.99 +6.5%

Over 3.5 31.6% 30.3% 3.30 +4.3%

BTTS 55.0% 55.6% 1.80 -1.0%

Home O1.5 37.2% 32.8% 3.05 +13.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 46.3% 2.16 +3.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.0%

A 44% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–1 9.0%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Brest1.3

ML Vitebsk1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.44

ML VITEBSK · PPG 2.75

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Brest (H) 31.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +3.6%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.3%

ML Vitebsk (A) 44.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -6.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Brest face ML Vitebsk in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Brest a 31% chance, the draw 24% and ML Vitebsk 44%, so ML Vitebsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dinamo Brest and 1.6 for ML Vitebsk (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Brest are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.75 for ML Vitebsk. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +22.0%. This match finished 1-3.

Dinamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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