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FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Bate Borisov Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 15 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 14:00

FC Isloch Minsk R.

PPG 2.57 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWD

UPCOMING

Bate Borisov

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWDW

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.1% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-16.2%0-21.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-020.7%1-19.6%1-22.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.1%2-17.4%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.3%3-13.9%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-12.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.1% 60.6% 1.65 -7.4%

Draw 26.7% 29.6% 3.38 -5.9%

Away win 17.1% 17.1% 5.85 +0.0%

Over 2.5 39.3% 53.8% 1.86 -26.9%

Over 3.5 20.9% 35.1% 2.85 -24.3%

BTTS 42.4% 54.9% 1.82 -22.8%

Home O1.5 45.8% 57.1% 1.75 -19.9%

Away O1.5 13.8% 24.1% 4.15 -25.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob42.4%

H 56% / xG 1.6-0.5 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.7%

#2 2–0 16.1%

#3 0–0 13.3%

#4 1–1 9.6%

#5 0–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Isloch Minsk R.1.6

Bate Borisov0.5

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ISLOCH MINSK R. · PPG 2.57

BATE BORISOV · PPG 0.67

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Isloch Minsk R. (H) 56.1%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -7.4%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.38 · IMPLIED 29.6% EV -5.9%

Bate Borisov (A) 17.1%

ODDS 5.85 · IMPLIED 17.1% EV +0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Isloch Minsk R. face Bate Borisov in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Isloch Minsk R. a 56% chance, the draw 27% and Bate Borisov 17%, so FC Isloch Minsk R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for FC Isloch Minsk R. and 0.5 for Bate Borisov (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Isloch Minsk R. are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 0.67 for Bate Borisov.

FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Bate Borisov Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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