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Neman vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:30

Neman

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Slavia Mozyr

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-110.4%0-24.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.0%1-113.0%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.4%2-18.2%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.9%3-13.4%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% 51.3% 1.95 -15.0%

Draw 27.2% 33.3% 3.00 -11.0%

Away win 29.2% 27.0% 3.70 +4.8%

Over 2.5 44.3% 48.3% 2.07 -8.3%

Over 3.5 23.7% 29.1% 3.44 -11.1%

BTTS 48.0% 52.4% 1.91 -8.3%

Home O1.5 35.8% 47.4% 2.11 -24.5%

Away O1.5 24.8% 29.1% 3.44 -8.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.0%

H 44% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 15.0%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 0–0 12.0%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Neman1.3

Slavia Mozyr0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.3% · O3.5 PROB 23.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NEMAN · PPG 1.44

SLAVIA MOZYR · PPG 1.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.38, combined xG 2.12 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Neman (H) 43.6%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -15.0%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.0%

Slavia Mozyr (A) 29.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Neman face Slavia Mozyr in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Neman a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Slavia Mozyr 29%, so Neman are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Neman and 0.9 for Slavia Mozyr (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Neman are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.50 for Slavia Mozyr. This match finished 1-0.

Neman vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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