Logan Lightning vs Broadbeach Utd Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Australia - Queensland Premier League Saturday, April 25, 2026 09:00

Logan Lightning PPG 1.33

VS PENDING

Broadbeach Utd PPG 3.00

Away· +67.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Logan Lightning face Broadbeach Utd in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Logan Lightning a 8% chance, the draw 9% and Broadbeach Utd 84%, so Broadbeach Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Logan Lightning and 4.4 for Broadbeach Utd (5.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-4. There is a 93% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Logan Lightning are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 3.00 for Broadbeach Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +67.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 7.5%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -78.3%

Draw 8.8%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -65.2%

Away 83.7%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +67.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 93.3% Odds: 1.38 +28.7%

Over 3.5 83.8% Odds: 1.95 +63.4%

BTTS 77.2% Odds: 1.35 +4.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-4

2nd 1-3

3rd 1-5

4th 2-4

5th 2-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Logan Lightning

1.52

Broadbeach Utd

4.37

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +28.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+67.4%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 74%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)