Sao Jose EC face Sertaozinho on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sao Jose EC a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Sertaozinho 23%, so Sao Jose EC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sao Jose EC and 1.2 for Sertaozinho (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sao Jose EC are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.80 for Sertaozinho. This match finished 5-0.
Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.80)