Ferroviaria vs Juventus Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - A2

Brazil - Paulista - A2 Wednesday, April 15, 2026 —

Ferroviaria PPG 1.90

1-0 HIT CS5

Juventus PPG 1.60

Over3.5· +95.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferroviaria face Juventus in Brazil - Paulista - A2 on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferroviaria a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Juventus 19%, so Ferroviaria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ferroviaria and 1.2 for Juventus (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferroviaria are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.60 for Juventus. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +95.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.5%

Odds: 1.80 EV: +10.7%

Draw 19.5%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -37.6%

Away 19.0%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -17.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.9% Odds: 2.35 +57.2%

Over 3.5 45.1% Odds: 4.33 +95.3%

BTTS 62.2% Odds: 2.05 +27.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferroviaria

2.26

Juventus

1.19

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +57.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+95.3%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 33%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 67%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.90), Away GOOD (1.60)