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Banik Ostrava B vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Banik Ostrava B

PPG 1.60 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Opava

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-112.2%0-27.3%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.2%1-113.3%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.1%2-17.2%2-24.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.2%3-12.6%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.3% 42.0% 2.38 -20.8%

Draw 28.5% 31.3% 3.20 -8.8%

Away win 38.2% 36.4% 2.75 +5.1%

Over 2.5 39.7% 54.1% 1.85 -26.6%

Over 3.5 19.5% 32.3% 3.10 -39.6%

BTTS 46.0% 60.6% 1.65 -24.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob46.0%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–1 12.2%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 0–0 10.3%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banik Ostrava B1.1

Opava1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.7% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BANIK OSTRAVA B · PPG 1.60

OPAVA · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Banik Ostrava B (H) 33.3%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -20.8%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.8%

Opava (A) 38.2%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banik Ostrava B face Opava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banik Ostrava B a 33% chance, the draw 28% and Opava 38%, so Opava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Banik Ostrava B and 1.2 for Opava (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banik Ostrava B are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.27 for Opava. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Banik Ostrava B vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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