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Ituano vs Votuporanguense Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - A2

Brazil - Paulista - A2 logo Brazil flag Brazil - Paulista - A2 Second Stage - 6 Wednesday, April 15, 2026
Ituano logo Ituano PPG 2.22
2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Votuporanguense logo Votuporanguense PPG 1.78
Over3.5· +70.3% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ituano face Votuporanguense in Brazil - Paulista - A2 on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ituano a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Votuporanguense 21%, so Ituano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ituano and 1.2 for Votuporanguense (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ituano are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.78 for Votuporanguense. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +70.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.6%
Odds: 1.80 EV: +5.5%
Draw 20.5%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -32.4%
Away 20.9%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -14.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.1% Odds: 2.15 +40.0%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 3.95 +70.3%
BTTS 61.9% Odds: 1.95 +20.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ituano
2.14
Votuporanguense
1.21

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +40.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+70.3%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.22) > Away GOOD (1.78)

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