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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Regular Season - 22 Wednesday, April 15, 2026
MOIK logo MOIK PPG 1.60
2-1 MISS
Zaqatala logo Zaqatala PPG 1.09
Draw· +0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.2%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -19.6%
Draw 30.4%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +0.3%
Away 30.4%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -8.8%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.2% Odds: 1.80 -40.2%
Over 3.5 14.9% Odds: —
BTTS 40.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

MOIK
1.10
Zaqatala
0.93

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.09)

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