Today / Denmark - 3. Division / Ishøj vs Holbæk B&I

Ishøj vs Holbæk B&I Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Ishøj

PPG 1.07 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLL

UPCOMING

Holbæk B&I

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-18.4%0-27.6%0-34.6%0-4+3.2%1 1-05.8%1-110.5%1-29.6%1-35.8%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.6%2-16.6%2-26.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.5%3 3-01.5%3-12.8%3-22.5%3-31.5%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.1% 16.0% 6.25 +34.1%

Draw 22.6% 23.1% 4.33 -1.3%

Away win 52.3% 72.5% 1.38 -27.8%

Over 2.5 61.5% 61.7% 1.62 -0.4%

Over 3.5 40.1% 40.7% 2.46 -1.4%

BTTS 60.1% 55.9% 1.79 +7.6%

Home O1.5 37.4% 24.1% 4.15 +55.2%

Away O1.5 51.7% 69.4% 1.44 -25.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob60.1%

A 52% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 0–1 8.4%

#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ishøj1.3

Holbæk B&I1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ISHØJ · PPG 1.07

HOLBÆK B&I · PPG 1.85

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.57 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Ishøj (H) 25.1%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +34.1%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -1.3%

Holbæk B&I (A) 52.3%

ODDS 1.38 · IMPLIED 72.5% EV -27.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ishøj face Holbæk B&I in Denmark - 3. Division on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ishøj a 25% chance, the draw 23% and Holbæk B&I 52%, so Holbæk B&I are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ishøj and 1.8 for Holbæk B&I (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ishøj are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.85 for Holbæk B&I. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +55.2%.

Ishøj vs Holbæk B&I Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 3. Division Predictions