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Vanløse vs Frem Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

Vanløse

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLWD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Frem

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.4% vs bookmaker-implied 40.0% — a clear edge.

+31.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.3%0-23.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.0%1-111.1%1-25.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.7%3-15.8%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.8%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 40.0% 2.50 +31.0%

Draw 24.1% 34.5% 2.90 -18.1%

Away win 23.5% 40.0% 2.50 -24.8%

Over 2.5 53.5% 55.6% 1.80 -3.7%

Over 3.5 31.5% 35.3% 2.83 -10.8%

BTTS 54.3% 60.6% 1.65 -10.4%

Home O1.5 48.9% 44.1% 2.27 +11.0%

Away O1.5 31.6% 44.1% 2.27 -28.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.3%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vanløse1.8

Frem1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VANLØSE · PPG 1.90

FREM · PPG 1.07

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vanløse (H) 52.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +31.0%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -18.1%

Frem (A) 23.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -24.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vanløse face Frem in Denmark - 3. Division on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vanløse a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Frem 24%, so Vanløse are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vanløse and 1.0 for Frem (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vanløse are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.07 for Frem. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Vanløse vs Frem Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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