Today / Denmark - 3. Division / Brønshøj vs Holbæk B&I

Brønshøj vs Holbæk B&I Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 17:00

Brønshøj

PPG 1.76 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDLW

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Holbæk B&I

PPG 1.66 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-18.3%0-25.2%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.7%1-112.2%1-27.6%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-18.9%2-25.5%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.4%3-14.3%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.2%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 43.5% 2.30 +2.1%

Draw 26.0% 30.8% 3.25 -9.3%

Away win 29.6% 38.5% 2.60 -13.8%

Over 2.5 53.9% 58.8% 1.70 -8.4%

Over 3.5 31.2% 38.6% 2.59 -19.2%

BTTS 54.7% 66.7% 1.50 -17.9%

Home O1.5 40.0% 48.1% 2.08 -16.8%

Away O1.5 37.3% 46.1% 2.17 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.7%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 2–0 7.1%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brønshøj1.5

Holbæk B&I1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BRØNSHØJ · PPG 1.76

HOLBÆK B&I · PPG 1.66

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Brønshøj (H) 44.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +2.1%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -9.3%

Holbæk B&I (A) 29.6%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brønshøj face Holbæk B&I in Denmark - 3. Division on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brønshøj a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Holbæk B&I 30%, so Brønshøj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Brønshøj and 1.2 for Holbæk B&I (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brønshøj are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 1.66 for Holbæk B&I. This match finished 1-4.

Brønshøj vs Holbæk B&I Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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