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Brønshøj vs FC Helsingor Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Matchday 6 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 17:00

Brønshøj

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDLW

UPCOMING

FC Helsingor

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 63.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-16.7%0-24.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.8%1-111.2%1-27.1%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.3%2-19.4%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.1%3-15.2%3-23.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.2%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 43.5% 2.30 +4.4%

Draw 24.5% 28.6% 3.50 -8.6%

Away win 30.1% 39.2% 2.55 -23.3%

Over 2.5 53.8% 57.8% 1.73 -6.9%

Over 3.5 33.6% 36.5% 2.74 -7.9%

BTTS 55.9% 63.3% 1.58 -11.7%

Home O1.5 49.5% 46.7% 2.14 +5.9%

Away O1.5 37.5% 44.6% 2.24 -16.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.9%

H 45% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brønshøj1.7

FC Helsingor1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BRØNSHØJ · PPG 1.54

FC HELSINGOR · PPG 1.50

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Brønshøj (H) 45.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +4.4%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.6%

FC Helsingor (A) 30.1%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -23.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brønshøj face FC Helsingor in Denmark - 3. Division on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brønshøj a 45% chance, the draw 25% and FC Helsingor 30%, so Brønshøj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Brønshøj and 1.3 for FC Helsingor (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brønshøj are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.50 for FC Helsingor. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +5.9%.

Brønshøj vs FC Helsingor Prediction— Denmark - 3. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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