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1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

1. FC Kaiserslautern

PPG 1.69 · HOME

LAST 5

DDW ··

UPCOMING

SV Darmstadt 98

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.0% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-17.7%0-23.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.4%1-112.0%1-25.8%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.4%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.1%3-14.9%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.1% 44.4% 2.25 +12.7%

Draw 26.1% 28.2% 3.55 -4.4%

Away win 23.8% 34.5% 2.90 -18.6%

Over 2.5 50.4% 60.6% 1.65 -16.8%

Over 3.5 28.7% 37.7% 2.65 -14.4%

BTTS 51.0% 65.4% 1.53 -22.0%

Home O1.5 46.1% 51.3% 1.95 -10.1%

Away O1.5 26.9% 44.4% 2.25 -23.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.0%

H 50% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 0–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

1. FC Kaiserslautern1.6

SV Darmstadt 981.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

1. FC KAISERSLAUTERN · PPG 1.69

SV DARMSTADT 98 · PPG 0.98

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

1. FC Kaiserslautern (H) 50.1%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +12.7%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -4.4%

SV Darmstadt 98 (A) 23.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

1. FC Kaiserslautern face SV Darmstadt 98 in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 50% chance, the draw 26% and SV Darmstadt 98 24%, so 1. FC Kaiserslautern are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern and 1.0 for SV Darmstadt 98 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 1. FC Kaiserslautern are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.98 for SV Darmstadt 98.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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