Today / Germany - 2. Bundesliga / SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:30

SV Darmstadt 98

PPG 1.72 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Hannover 96

PPG 1.49 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-15.9%0-23.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.5%1-110.6%1-26.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.6%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.6%3-15.8%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.0%4+-22.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% 32.3% 3.10 +50.3%

Draw 24.4% 26.7% 3.75 -5.1%

Away win 27.0% 47.6% 2.10 -26.0%

Over 2.5 53.5% 65.4% 1.53 -18.1%

Over 3.5 35.9% 43.5% 2.30 -17.4%

BTTS 55.0% 69.0% 1.45 -20.3%

Home O1.5 49.3% 46.5% 2.15 +6.0%

Away O1.5 36.6% 56.5% 1.77 -35.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.0%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 1–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SV Darmstadt 981.8

Hannover 961.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SV DARMSTADT 98 · PPG 1.72

HANNOVER 96 · PPG 1.49

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SV Darmstadt 98 (H) 48.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +50.3%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.1%

Hannover 96 (A) 27.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -26.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

SV Darmstadt 98 face Hannover 96 in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SV Darmstadt 98 a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Hannover 96 27%, so SV Darmstadt 98 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 1.2 for Hannover 96 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SV Darmstadt 98 are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.49 for Hannover 96. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +49.9%. This match finished 0-1.

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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