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Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BSC Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 16:30

Eintracht Braunschweig

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

3 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hertha BSC

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-18.5%0-25.7%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.1%1-112.1%1-28.0%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-18.6%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.1%3-14.1%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% 39.2% 2.55 -1.1%

Draw 25.9% 28.2% 3.55 -4.8%

Away win 35.3% 39.2% 2.55 -10.0%

Over 2.5 53.5% 58.8% 1.70 -9.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 36.4% 2.75 -13.4%

BTTS 55.0% 64.5% 1.55 -14.8%

Home O1.5 40.1% 46.5% 2.15 -13.8%

Away O1.5 40.9% 46.5% 2.15 -12.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-5

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.0%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht Braunschweig1.4

Hertha BSC1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT BRAUNSCHWEIG · PPG 1.17

HERTHA BSC · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht Braunschweig (H) 38.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -1.1%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -4.8%

Hertha BSC (A) 35.3%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht Braunschweig face Hertha BSC in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Hertha BSC 35%, so Eintracht Braunschweig are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.3 for Hertha BSC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.83 for Hertha BSC. This match finished 3-5.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BSC Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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