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Örebro Syrianska vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Örebro Syrianska

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLLW

UPCOMING

Sleipner

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.8%0-25.4%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.1%1-112.4%1-27.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.1%2-18.7%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.3%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 40.0% 2.50 -8.3%

Draw 24.5% 29.9% 3.35 -10.8%

Away win 38.8% 43.5% 2.30 -10.8%

Over 2.5 53.8% 65.4% 1.53 -17.7%

Over 3.5 31.7% 42.9% 2.33 -26.1%

BTTS 53.9% 66.7% 1.50 -19.1%

Home O1.5 39.9% 48.3% 2.07 -17.4%

Away O1.5 36.8% 51.8% 1.93 -29.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.9%

A 39% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 0–1 8.8%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Örebro Syrianska1.4

Sleipner1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ÖREBRO SYRIANSKA · PPG 1.56

SLEIPNER · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Örebro Syrianska (H) 36.7%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -8.3%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -10.8%

Sleipner (A) 38.8%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -10.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Örebro Syrianska face Sleipner in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Örebro Syrianska a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Sleipner 39%, so Sleipner are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Örebro Syrianska and 1.2 for Sleipner (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Örebro Syrianska are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.67 for Sleipner.

Örebro Syrianska vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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