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Lindo FF vs Nyköping Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Lindo FF

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLL

UPCOMING

Nyköping

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-18.8%0-26.0%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.8%1-112.1%1-28.3%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-18.3%2-25.7%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.8%3-13.8%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% 33.9% 2.95 +14.5%

Draw 24.5% 27.8% 3.60 -7.1%

Away win 36.7% 51.8% 1.93 -29.2%

Over 2.5 57.3% 74.6% 1.34 -23.2%

Over 3.5 35.8% 53.5% 1.87 -33.1%

BTTS 59.0% 73.5% 1.36 -19.8%

Home O1.5 39.5% 49.5% 2.02 -20.2%

Away O1.5 42.2% 61.7% 1.62 -31.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.0%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lindo FF1.4

Nyköping1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LINDO FF · PPG 1.00

NYKÖPING · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lindo FF (H) 38.8%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +14.5%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.1%

Nyköping (A) 36.7%

ODDS 1.93 · IMPLIED 51.8% EV -29.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lindo FF face Nyköping in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lindo FF a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Nyköping 37%, so Lindo FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lindo FF and 1.4 for Nyköping (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lindo FF are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Nyköping. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +1.3%.

Lindo FF vs Nyköping Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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